The AFC South, 2026 Season

[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by Hoopsdoc

We’ll just have to agree to disagree. And, for the record, I hope I’m wrong.

I just think Daniel Jones will come back to earth this year. Last year was such an outlier from his career up to that point. I wonder if it’s sustainable.

I view "everything goes perfectly" as each questionable situation has a 90th percentile or better outcome.

That would look something like:

- Daniel Jones misses at most 2 games and performs at the level he was performing in the first 8 games of last season.

- Alec Pierce takes on an increased target share and continues to produce at a similar YPC level with 20-30 more catches.

- Josh Downs takes on an increased target share and improves his YPC, having over 1,000 yards and at least close to 100 catches.

- Tyler Warren plays at an All-Pro level and has over 1,000 yards and close to 100 catches.

- The OL is elite across the board, with Matt Goncalves and Jalen Travis establishing themselves as top end starters.

- Laiatu Latu becomes one of the elite pass rushers in the NFL, getting 12+ sacks and being top 10 in pressures and pressure rate in the NFL.

- DeForest Buckner and Grover Stewart miss no time, and Buckner plays at an All-Pro level, getting 10+ sacks or close to it.

- CJ Allen competes for defensive rookie of the year, and has a rookie statline similar to 2018 Darius Leonard.

- Sauce Gardner and Charvarius Ward missed less than 2 games combined, and both play at All-Pro level.

- Cam Bynum and A.J. Haulcy are both turnover machines and ballhawks.

- The offense and defense are both Top 5 in EPA per play.


You're telling me the ceiling on that team is 10 wins? That looks like a 13-14 win #1 seed to me.