Colts name Daniel Jones the QB1

[IndyNorm]

Originally Posted by YDFL Commish

If Jones can have a similar season to Rivers, when he was here, and add 500 yds rushing, the offense will play winning football.

passing yds. 4000+
passing TD's 24+
interceptions 12-
completion pct. 65%+
fumbles 5-
rushing yds. 500+

And if Jones plays as well as Manning or Luck did in their prime then we'll be SB contenders.

I’m skeptical Jones can do that, but ok let’s say that happens. Then what? Do you commit to Jones and that level of QB play long term? Or do you let Jones leave to whatever team overpays for that production and continue on the Ballard QB carousel?

If Jones plays as well as this year as Rivers did in '20 then I'll be perfectly happy w/ us signing Jones to an extension and shipping AR off. Like you though, I seriously doubt that happens. I think at best we get Jones "good" year in NY passing and his career average in rushing:

3,200 yds, 63% completion %, 15/5 TD/Int; ~500 yds rushing and 4 TDs. Which is maybe just good enough to squeak us into the playoffs.

[rm1369]

Originally Posted by IndyNorm

And if Jones plays as well as Manning or Luck did in their prime then we'll be SB contenders.



If Jones plays as well as this year as Rivers did in '20 then I'll be perfectly happy w/ us signing Jones to an extension and shipping AR off. Like you though, I seriously doubt that happens. I think at best we get Jones "good" year in NY passing and his career average in rushing:

3,200 yds, 63% completion %, 15/5 TD/Int; ~500 yds rushing and 4 TDs. Which is maybe just good enough to squeak us into the playoffs.

With only one year of that big of a jump in production I would not invest in Jones long term. That’s the kind of decision that kill teams. He’s had one decent season (that didn’t reach this level) got paid for it and then fell apart. I have no trust he is a franchise QB. He’s at best the kind of guy that keeps you in no man’s land, winning enough games to keep you from finding his replacement while never being good enough to truly compete. And I think that is being fairly optimistic.

[IndyNorm]

Originally Posted by rm1369

With only one year of that big of a jump in production I would not invest in Jones long term. That’s the kind of decision that kill teams. He’s had one decent season (that didn’t reach this level) got paid for it and then fell apart. I have no trust he is a franchise QB. He’s at best the kind of guy that keeps you in no man’s land, winning enough games to keep you from finding his replacement while never being good enough to truly compete. And I think that is being fairly optimistic.

Good point. Guess I'm too eager to get our QB situation solved that if he equaled the 2nd best QB performance that we've had in the past 10 years that I thought we should lock him up. A more prudent approach would be to franchise him and if he repeats said performance then sign him to a long term contract. Realistically this is a moot point though b/c the chance of Jones being as good as Rivers at any point in his career are pretty damn slim.

Comparable to his rookie stats of 3700yds, 24td, 12int, 300yds rushing. Unless he's shellshocked, I don't think it's outlandish to think he could replicate it.

As rn already pointed out you're incorrect on your stats as Jones threw for 3,027 yds in his rookie season and not 3,700. You also left off that he fumbled 19 times that year.

[ChaosTheory]

Originally Posted by rm1369

The most yds Jones has thrown for is 3205 in his 4th year. The only year he has ever played 16 games. To get to 3700 you have to extrapolate his highest per game average to 16 games. His highest average was his rookie year. Not really a comforting stat for a 6 yr vet. And a main reason he’s only played 16 games once in his career is because of injury. Same knock as AR just proven in even more seasons.

So the Ballard selling point is “after 9 years in the worst division in football, if I go all in, win now mode I’m so good I can make the playoffs. And my 8th choice at QB and a NY Giants castoff is better than the guy we selected #4 in the draft and have no idea how to develop”. If ownership buys that, the fans are really screwed.

Yeah, I think I already extrapolated his rookie year to 16 games and used that 3725 number by mistake. Point still stands... better than Darnold and some other redemption arcs we've seen in recent years. Not like it's a preposterous outlook.

The selling point is the same it's always been. I know it doesn't compute with you, and fair enough, it doesn't compute with a lot of fans. But the world makes a lot more sense if you don't bang your head against a wall and ask God what mysterious voodoo magic Chris Ballard has to keep his job this long...

This team has an offense that is relatively loaded with weapons and an offense line that is typically, year-in and year-out one of the better units in the league. We were top-10 in scoring with Gardner Minshew. Before the 22' bizarro-fest, we were 9th Carson Wentz. Averaged something like 28ppg with Rivers/Luck. They have, and have had, plenty around the QB. That's why he's still around.

So it may come down to whether or not one believes that finding a QB is a crapshoot or not. I do. I think the science of finding a QB is: if one is available when you have a premium pick, take him. And if you find a Wilson in the 3rd, Cousins in the 4th, or Purdy in the 7th, sometimes they can play and congratulations.

[CletusPyle]

After hearing the media slobber all over Jaxson Dart and hearing and reading some of the comments from the Giants fans I have to believe that nobody is more motivated to prove all the critics wrong than Daniel Jones....and I would love to see him show these experts that he was not the main problem the Giants had the past few years.

[Colts And Orioles]

o


I really want this to happen.

Originally Posted by Colts And Orioles

o


If that's the case, we can hope that Daniel Jones takes a page out of Jim Plunkett's career resurgence when he was playing for the Oakland Raiders in his mid-to-late 30's ....... play within himself, don't throw very many deep bombs, and trust his receivers with soft-and-accurate throws.

o

o

[Colts And Orioles]

o


^^^^^^^^^^^^^^


From 1971 through 1977, Plunkett's numbers with the Patriots and the 49ers were.


84 lllll. TD

117 lll. INT

49.3 ll, COMP %



From 1980 through 1981, Plunkett's numbers with the Oakland Raiders were.


22 llll.. TD

25 lll... INT

51.9 ll, COMP %



From 1982 through 1986, Plunkett's numbers with the Los Angeles Raiders were.


57 llll.. TD

55 lll... INT

58.2 ll, COMP %

o

[Colts And Orioles]

Originally Posted by Colts And Orioles

o


If that's the case, we can hope that he takes a page out of Jim Plunkett's career resurgence when he was playing for the Raiders in his mid-to-late 30's ....... play within himself, don't throw very many deep bombs, and trust his receivers with soft-and-accurate throws.

o

o


So far, Jones looks even better than Plunkett did with the Raiders in the early 1980's.

o

[Spike]

Originally Posted by Colts And Orioles

o


So far, Jones looks even better than Plunkett did with the Raiders in the early 1980's.

o

Yep, I was one who had my doubts about him. Through 3 games, DJ has looked damn good!

[albany ed]

Originally Posted by Colts And Orioles

o


So far, Jones looks even better than Plunkett did with the Raiders in the early 1980's.

o

Hard to complain when your team is 3 and 0 and your offense is putting up 34 points a game on average. However, I'd like to see him improve his deep ball. Twice today he under threw his deep receivers. Once to Pierce and once to Mitchell. I don't believe it's a lack of arm strength, at least I hope not. He's the best we've had since Luck, but I still want improvement.