Free Agency Predictions

[Ironshaft]

Originally Posted by Brylok

I predict there won't be a season to worry about, let alone free agent signings. 100,000+ US deaths and rising will make the rest of the 45 million without health insurance in America constantly look over their collective shoulder. I hope I'm very, very wrong.

A. You know that 64,000 died last year from the flu in the U.S., right? While is will be more televised this year because of #OrangeManBad, 100,000 COVID-19 deaths is not that big of a leap.

B. Briefing I received on Friday from base medical indicated that:
85% that get it will have flu-like and recover with no problem (the same as normal flu)
15% will need medical care.
- Of those that receive it medical care, morality rate is 0.5% ( same as normal flu)
- Of those that do not receive medical care, morality rate is upwards of 4-5% greatly exceeding normal flu rates.

The kicker is that it is 6 to 8 times more contagious than normal flu so a whole lot of folks will end up getting it raising that 15% number to a LOT of folks.

The travel bans and cancelled meetings / social distancing is to slow down infection rates so less are sick at once and the medical community can keep up with the numbers. It will lengthen the overtime frames before it burns out but overall deaths will be much less.

What you are seeing in Italy and Iran are medical systems overwhelmed and then thousands dying because they cannot get a bed in a hospital.

Isolation and slowing infection rates is the key. Everyone sick will get seen in emergency rooms regardless of insurance status.