How many wins for the Colts this season?

[ChaosTheory]

Originally Posted by Dam8610

Going to do this a little different. Assigning percentage confidence in a Colts win for each game, then rounding to nearest quarter win. For reference (if anyone else wants to do this):

0-0.1 = 0 wins
0.11-0.39 = .25 wins
0.4-0.6 = .5 wins
0.61-0.89 = .75 wins
0.9-1 = 1 win

1 - Sept. 11 @ Houston Texans - 1 PM .9
2 - Sept. 18 @ Jacksonville Jaguars - 1 PM .8
3 - Sept. 25 Kansas City Chiefs - 1 PM .4
4 - Oct. 2 Tennessee Titans - 1 PM .6
5 - Oct. 6 @ Denver Broncos - 8:15 PM (TNF) .4
6 - Oct. 16 Jacksonville Jaguars - 1 PM .9
7 - Oct. 23 @ Tennessee Titans - 1 PM .35
8 - Oct. 30 Washington Commanders - 4:25 PM .8
9 - Nov. 6 @ New England Patriots - 1 PM .6
10 - Nov. 13 @ Las Vegas Raiders - 4:05 PM .4
11 - Nov. 20 Philadelphia Eagles - 1 PM .75
12 - Nov. 28 Pittsburgh Steelers - 8:15 PM (MNF) .75
13 - Dec. 4 @ Dallas Cowboys - 8:20 PM (SNF) .4
14 - BYE WEEK
15 - Dec. 17/18 @ Minnesota Vikings TBD .6
16 - Dec. 26 Los Angeles Chargers - 8:15 PM (MNF) .75
17 - Jan. 1 @ New York Giants - 1 PM .9
18 - Jan. 7/8 Houston Texans TBD .9

Predicted W-L =11.5-5.5, or right around 12-5, which is the record I think they will end up with. AFC West is a rough draw, but NFC Least and the Vikings balance it out.

Why so low on the Colts @ TEN and also why so high on Colts vs. LAC? Curious.