Colts vs Chiefs - Rushing

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by Pez

ok, sure, I used a bit of hyperbolic language, but the point is still there. Effectively running the ball may create a mismatch in TOP and (even better) may create a mismatch in the number of total plays.

Doing so will limit the extent to which Mahomes is a factor in the game, first because he is playing less, second because our defense is rested.

In all four of KCs losses, they lost TOP and also lost total plays.

Seattle won TOP 35 to 25
SD won TOP 33-26
NE won TOP 36-23
LAR won TOP 31-29

Sure, this stat means less than it did before, and is not the only benefit of an effective game running the ball.

Here are the points allowed in KCs losses:
54
43
38
29

I think you're putting too much emphasis on controlling the clock and not enough on needing to score, score, score. Get TDs first and foremost, limit big plays, and get a couple turnovers. TOP will take care of itself.

[Luck4Reich]

Mahomes first playoff pass is going to be an interception. Calling it now.

[DrSpaceman]

From what I have read, despite the poor defensive stats, KC has a good pass rush with their front four. Two DL with 10+ sacks on the year. And they don't blitz much, so they will have 7-8 back in coverage most plays

Will be a challenge for Luck and Reich, but I think they can't score on the chiefs

Our secondary is what worries me the most. Really have not faced a QB all year of this quality. Not even Brady this season

[FatDT]

I just don't think Mahomes can sustain the pace he started at, and when you look at the end of his season, he didn't. I'm not saying the Chiefs will be easy. But they are not the juggernaut they were thought to be through the first 11 weeks.

I actually agree their defense will be better than how they're ranked. They have too many talented players to actually be that bad.

[albany ed]

Originally Posted by FatDT

I just don't think Mahomes can sustain the pace he started at, and when you look at the end of his season, he didn't. I'm not saying the Chiefs will be easy. But they are not the juggernaut they were thought to be through the first 11 weeks.

I actually agree their defense will be better than how they're ranked. They have too many talented players to actually be that bad.

Everyone is touting the Colts D as being stellar lately, and it has been impressive, especially against the run. As for pass defense, in the last 10 games, the best passer they've faced was Eli Manning and he did pretty good against the Colts. Mahomes is a much bigger threat in the passing game than the current Eli Manning. Colts need to score often, but long sustained scoring drives can help this D tremendously.

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by albany ed

Everyone is touting the Colts D as being stellar lately, and it has been impressive, especially against the run. As for pass defense, in the last 10 games, the best passer they've faced was Eli Manning and he did pretty good against the Colts. Mahomes is a much bigger threat in the passing game than the current Eli Manning. Colts need to score often, but long sustained scoring drives can help this D tremendously.

There have been quite a few open holes in the Colts zones over the last few games. Only Manning consistently hit them. I expect Maholmes to as well and for Reid to scheme those holes even wider by getting Leonard and Walker to respect the run and other wide receiver actions like jet sweeps.

For anyone particularly confident in this game, just remind yourself that the Colts beat the worst playoff team last week. That Houston game doesn't mean anything.

[omahacolt]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

There have been quite a few open holes in the Colts zones over the last few games. Only Manning consistently hit them. I expect Maholmes to as well and for Reid to scheme those holes even wider by getting Leonard and Walker to respect the run and other wide receiver actions like jet sweeps.

For anyone particularly confident in this game, just remind yourself that the Colts beat the worst playoff team last week. That Houston game doesn't mean anything.

Mahomes is going to light this defense up. My only hope is we can make them go the length of the field slowly and force a few field goals and maybe a punt or two.

[Racehorse]

Originally Posted by NoLuck4Chuck

Mahomes first playoff pass is going to be an interception. Calling it now.

Picked by Wilson

[rcubed]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

Here are the points allowed in KCs losses:
54
43
38
29

I think you're putting too much emphasis on controlling the clock and not enough on needing to score, score, score. Get TDs first and foremost, limit big plays, and get a couple turnovers. TOP will take care of itself.

yep, playing ball control is great but only if the drives end up with TDs. I dont think a bunch of field goals will do it.