NFL.com article on predicted wins

[sherck]

Using some math model that uses a WHOLE lot more data than I thought was recorded in any one database (located here).

The Colts?

#19 COLTS: 7.4 wins
Current record: 3-5. Projected playoff percentage: 27.3.

The Colts have the league's best third-down offense, converting 52.2 percent of the time on this crucial down. One of the main drivers of their success here -- and when it comes to wins -- is the improved ability of the O-line to keep Andrew Luck upright. Luck has only been sacked 10 times in eight games and is posting the lowest sack average in the league (1.25 sacks per game). Some of this is because of Luck's excellent decision-making, but also note that over the past three games, Luck has been sacked exactly zero times.

Seems about right; 4 or 5 wins out of our last 8 games. That is about the team we are right now.

I would LOVE for us to win more than that but am resigned to a 7 or 8 win season at this point.

Walk Worthy,