[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by Chaka

The more I think about it, the more likely it seems to me that 4 QBs will be taken in the first five picks. I'm interested in everyone else's thinking on this. Here's my rationale:

1. Cleveland - Virtually certain to be a QB. As others have pointed out, it makes no sense to take anything else here, since whatever non-QB they want will likely be available at pick 4 anyway. So might as well get your pick of the QB litter here. Now, I realize it's Cleveland we're talking about, but they have competent management now.

2. New York Giants - I'm finding it hard to believe they'll take a non-QB here. Aside from Eli's age and declining production, as a practical matter I have to think that the Jets tried to trade into this spot at the same time as they spoke with the Colts (wouldn't they have to?). If the Giants weren't willing to drop to #6 in exchange for three 2nds (or maybe even more), then it seems likely that they have zeroed in on a particular player/position and are loathe to drop lower out of fear that he won't be available later. And it's just hard to believe that protecting their right to draft a RB or a DE would justify such a position (particularly since they hadn't yet traded Jason Pierre-Paul at the time).

3. New York Jets - Virtually certain to be QB. The Jets need a QB, and nobody pays that kind of extreme draft price to move up 3 spots for anything but a QB.

4. Cleveland - Obviously won't be a QB if Cleveland keeps this pick. In that case, they could take Barkley (though they already paid good money for Hyde this off season, suggesting to me they aren't targeting a RB high in the draft - it's not like you want a rookie RB to sit and learn) or Chubb (though they've already got two good DEs in Garrett and Nassib). I think a more likely scenario is that with 3 of the top 4 QBs already taken, and with Denver waiting right behind, several teams will approach Cleveland with attractive trade offers to grab the last QB and Cleveland will trade out.

5. Denver - If any of the first four picks is not a QB, this is a likely landing spot for the last of the top 4 QB prospects. Denver could certainly use a top QB prospect to learn under Case Keenum, and none of the other top players really seem to fit Denver's needs (maybe Quenton Nelson? possibly Barkley?) -so if Denver doesn't take a QB, I think its another spot where another team could seek to trade into.

Interested in other's thoughts on this.

This is exactly the thought process that led me to believe 4 QBs would go in the Top 5 when the Colts traded down to 6. It'll be 4 QBs and Barkley, and the Colts will send the card for Chubb almost immediately, I doubt Ballard even waits for trade offers with his guy sitting there for the taking.