Quote:
Originally Posted by TheMugwump
Mehh...
Point spreads are just Vegas' way to get equal action on both sides and not at all a prediction of who the experts think will win.
But in my non-expert opinion, this will be a low-scoring game with a final score somewhere in the 17-13 range.
|
You're correct that Las Vegas ideally wants equally weighted action on both sides of a game, but don't discount the predictive value of the spread.
As a purely statistical matter, a team with a 3.5 point spread in its favor will win the game roughly 2/3 of the time (though it may not cover the spread). No guarantees, of course, but it's always nice to have the spread in your favor.