Glad to see that most people are fairly optimistic about the season.
I am guessing about 10 wins.
Three games that jump out to me as probable losses are: vs Baltimore, at Tennessee and at Las Vegas.
I don't like the Tennessee game because it is a Thursday night game and on the road. Additionally, the Colts have a tougher opponent the previous game (Colts play Baltimore while Tennessee plays Chicago in Nashville). I don't like the Vegas game because over the last decade the Colts have had a terrible record playing games out west. Even during the seasons when the Colts won 10 or 11 games, they would typically drop a game out west.
I see another half dozen games that will be difficult - the other Tennessee game, both the Houston games, and a few of the better opponents. Of those six games, I figure the Colts will split them and go 3-3.
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