
10-31-2018, 10:16 AM
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Administrator
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Join Date: Jan 2017
Location: Fort Wayne
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sherck
First of all, I am a data guy so I completely understand that short-term trends do not mean long-term success nor do averages mean much because each activity is a unique event.
That said, I have greatly enjoyed our last three games in having a running game again. Watching our new Offensive Line configuration just maul folks and spring our RBs to actually be beyond the line of scrimmage before contact has been great. In the past three games, we have averaged 5.5, 5.9 and 5.6 yards per carry.
While we did rush for over 100 yards in each of our first two games (101 yards against CIN; 104 yards against WAS), those yards per carry were 3.4 and 3.7 yards respectively. There, we did it through repetition of effort (not fun watching) instead of because of success on most of the individual plays.
So, for the past three games, we are averaging 182.0 yards per game rushing. If that average were to continue for the second half of the season, we would reach 2,397 rush yards for the season. We would fall 17 yards short of the Rams who are currently rushing for an average of 150.9 yards per game and if they maintain that rate, will end with 2,414 yards for the season.
As 182.0 yards per game, there is only one team since 2002 that had a season per game rushing average higher than that and it was the 2006 Atlanta Falcons (both Warrick Dunn and Michael Vick had over 1,000 rushing with Jerious Norwell tossing in 633 yards) at 183.7 yards rushing per game.
I have no idea if we can continue running the ball at the same clip we have these past three games but if we can, it will be at a pretty historically high rate compared to the rest of the NFL.
Please, please, please let the O-Line stay healthy!!
Walk Worthy,
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Anyone that wants to argue that drafting high for 2 guards didnt equal difference makers are nuts.
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Gonna win it all.
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