I think a big reason why 1st round QB's don't pan out, is the huge expectations placed upon them to be a franchise saviour, especially the really high picks. Those pressures are things that often just can't be "scouted". Until someone is really put into a pressure cooker situation, you can't know how they will react. QB is the position above all others, probably in any sport in the world, that is so incredibly mentally challenging.
A 2nd round pick, has so much less pressure placed upon them from day one. Sure once they eventually enter the starters role, then they have the typical pressures of leading a franchise, but usually you have proven yourself worthy of being the starter by this time, rather than being thrust into the sink or swim position of a high draft pick.
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