Honestly, I am more interested in trading to #3 than #1.
#3 "guarantees" one of your top 2 QB choices assuming CHI does not pick QB.
I agree that pick #5 or below is not attractive to CHI as their chance to get one of the two prime defenders lowers greatly. I also think #4 is the lowest they would want to go no matter how big the haul of compensation.
We will see, but who knows? Colts management might see AR-15 as the guy so....no movement needed with even a possible trade down a spot or three to still get him.
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