If anybody wants to pick games and mess around with scenarios...
http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine
There's a lot of moving parts in the AFC. But I ran through it real quick and ended us at 11-6 in the #6 seed against Tennessee at 12-5 in the #3 seed in the Wildcard game.
My bias has us running the table but interestingly... If we drop one to either NE or AZ, we remain the #6 seed at 10-7 because we'd win tiebreakers over BAL and BUF.
At least in one universe.