NFL.com article on predicted wins
 

Using some math model that uses a WHOLE lot more data than I thought was recorded in any one database (located here).

The Colts?

Seems about right; 4 or 5 wins out of our last 8 games. That is about the team we are right now.

I would LOVE for us to win more than that but am resigned to a 7 or 8 win season at this point.

Walk Worthy,

Looks right to me.

Yep. You don't need a fancy model to know that a +18 point differential over 8 games translates to roughly a 4-4 record. You extrapolate that to the remaining 8 games and you expect about 4 more wins.

Lol....I used an even simpler math model to predict 8 wins before the season began......

Take 2017 wins (4) and replace the most clueless HC ever with a talented QB (2x force multiplier because both coaching and talent matter) = 8 wins :rolleyes:

My way is less controversial on this site.

If you aren't pissing someone off, you aren't trying hard enough. :D

I said 7 wins in preseason and this seems about on par w/that.

Four more wins sounds fairly reasonable, though I think (and hope) we could do a little better than that. Should have had a better first half record. The Texans loss might be one that people find fault with, but a tie wouldn't have improved our playoff prospects all that much. Still glad we went for the win instead, even if it didn't work.

On the day of the game I was pissed about going for it, it took me a couple days to understand that (at last in a way), Ballard was making a statement about the culture he is trying to install in this team. Play to win. There's even logic behind it, it was 4th and 2 I think, and we are over 50% conversion rate on 3rd down... go for it.

I think 5 wins down the stretch is reasonable. If we get a little help from Houston we can be in the hunt for the division, or if Houston runs away with it we might be in the hunt for an AFC wildcard.

Feels like 8-8 to me, missing the playoffs and on very solid footing for next year.

I think the O line play has been a vast improvement over last year. And since Costanzo has returned, WOW.

But I would inject this one item. Scheme. The O line has a better chance of keeping Luck clean when the D just can't pin it's ears back and come full speed on the snap.

The Jags game in Indy last year, when there was NOTHING to stop the Jags from bringing 7 guys on a blitz was ghastly to watch. That won't happen this year. Opposing teams can't overpower the O line, because Luck will have options. It's the scheme. ITS COACHING.

You flip that L to a W and the Colts are tied for the division lead.

I believe that was Reich's goal: to win and put us in better position

After all, we need wins, not ties. We are NOT the Cleveland Browns!

Fixed.

Fair, though the tiebreaker may end up being meaningless with another H2H game later in the year.

So who do you see us losing to?

Who knows. Jags and titans. Titans maybe twice. Texans and cowboys. This defense can lose us any game.

We are good enough to run the table. It just won’t happen

Let's assume the Colts have 60% odds of winning each game. How long are the odds that they win every game?

I’m not saying they will. I’m asking those who say we lose 4 or 5 which teams do you think it will be to?

I think Jax away is a loss. Maybe Houston away. But I look at a very winnable schedule and I really don’t see any sure losses like I did in the first half of the season.

Maybe a division game or two and maybe to Dallas

This team lost to the Jets. If you don’t also think they can lose any game they play, then you’re looking with rose-colored glasses.

I really hope the Colts start to reestablish their aura of dominance over this division. It used to be a really big deal to other teams in the division when they beat the Colts, and a 4-2 divisional record used to be a disappointment. I want to get back to those days.

They beat the Lions. And the Lions have beaten the pats and the Packers this yr and the Jets also beat the Donks

Sure we could have a bad game or 2 but I don’t see any team on the schedule we can’t beat

I agree with this, though the rest of our games are winnable,this team is still inexperienced, and we are still flawed with some holes, so I think we split the rest of the way as well.

Regardless of our final W/L record and the talent gaps we still need to plug, I think we can all agree that this team is much more interesting and fun to watch!

setting the seeds this year. next year it will happen.