Value chart says the drop is worth about 300 points. 300 points is about the value of a late 2nd. They own the 41st pick with a value of 490 points. Can’t see them offering more than that.

If Chubb is available at 6, fuck trading down, take the man.

Unless you get a boatload of picks in return and don't drop too far down in the first round.

Yeah, if Chubb is there, I'd want 12, 22, 53, 56, and 65 to move down if it was the Bills.

Have a feeling the Colts have talked to Miami and Buffalo. Either might move up if the QB they like is there. I think it’s Allen if it’s Buffalo, and maybe Mayfield for Miami. I think the Colts are a cheaper trade partner than Denver or Cleveland.

Per Rap:

I really don't want to move all the way down to 27, but if it was for 1st round picks next year and the following year plus an additional 2nd this year, might entertain the possibility. We could always try to trade back up in the 1st round ourselves with our 2nd rounders.

The Saints have Brees signed for at least two more years, so they'll probably be pretty decent for the next year or two. Given this fact, I don't think their 2019 and 2020 1st rounders are collectively comparable to our #6 pick this year, nor do I think that you're proposed trade would be as lopsided as I'd want it to be to justify a trade this year.

Tony Pauline says the Seahawks are looking to move out of Rd1 and the Browns are a likely partner.

We could see the Browns end up with 4 1st round picks tonight.

#1
#12 + #22 for #4
+another 1st if they trade up from the 2nd

Mike Wells on DD show today says scuttlebutt in Colts complex is that Ballard will take Chubb at 6 if he's still there or plan B is to take Roquon Smith. Wells says this is also consistent with Polian's advice to Colts leadership.

That's where I am as well. Don't mess around with trading down when you can add one of those two.

Daniel Jeremiah says there have been some whispers of the Colts moving up for Chubb.

that quote seems contradictory to itself and also just dumb.

Yeah, I don't think it's real. Maybe CLE and DEN are putting it out there as noise to BUF, MIA, and ARI.

Polian is pretty much against drafting guards in Round One as a general rule and, as good as Nelson is, there are other promising OLs who should be on the board in Rounds Two and Three (and maybe beyond).

As much as I'm intrigued by Edmunds, I fear his max value will come at or near the end of his first contract, whereas Smith (assuming his shoulder's good to go) should contribute immediately, especially in Eberflus' schemes. So Chubb if he's there or Smith (or Edmunds) works for me.

And possibly an OL, RB and CB in Round Two (in no particular order). Or a "big" WR if he's the BPA when Ballard picks.

Agree with all this. One other thing to keep an eye on is whether or not they trade back into Rd1. Two scenarios I see:

1) Chubb at 6. Move back into Rd 1 to get a LB like LVE or Evans.
2) Smith at 6. Move back into Rd 1 to get an EDGE like Landry or Davenport.

Those two scenarios would give you two really strong building block pieces in the front seven.

Does not compute. We traded back to get more picks, moving up would take picks.

Apparently LVE has failed physicals with 7 teams already

This was from Tony Pauline today:

That would be beyond stupid with options such as Edmund's and Smith being available

Ballard dropping from #3 to #6 tells me he likes Chubb and hopes he might still be there at #6 BUT can also be happy with several other guys if Chubb goes earlier.

If Ballard does indeed feel there are 8 premium non-QBs in this draft, I assume they would be Barkley and Nelson on offense, and Chubb, Smith, Edmunds, Ward, James and Fitzpatrick on defense.

So maybe he goes with Smith at #6 (if Chubb's gone) or he trades down again with, say, Buffalo. If he can convince Beane to give up #12 and #22, he might pick one of the DBs at #12 and an LB like Evans or rusher like Landry or Davenport at #22.

Or if Beane won't give up both 1st rounders, maybe Ballard gets #12, #53, #56 and #96 in return, then packages some combination of the extra picks he got from the Jets and Bills to move back up into the 1st round, and still gets an LB or EDGE, or promising OL.

A big red flag is that his name is Leighton. Sounds girly. Kind of like Velvet, or Dam.

I'm down with that.