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ChaosTheory 12-05-2021 10:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 214684)
I remember someone once saying that you go for the win on the road, and play for overtime at home. Maybe that is why.

Apparently Harbaugh said they were out of corners.

IndyNorm 12-05-2021 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 214700)
If anybody wants to pick games and mess around with scenarios...

http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

There's a lot of moving parts in the AFC. But I ran through it real quick and ended us at 11-6 in the #6 seed against Tennessee at 12-5 in the #3 seed in the Wildcard game.

My bias has us running the table but interestingly... If we drop one to either NE or AZ, we remain the #6 seed at 10-7 because we'd win tiebreakers over BAL and BUF.

At least in one universe.

We lost to BAL so we can't win a tie breaker against them. Did you mean the Bungles?

IndyNorm 12-05-2021 10:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 214674)
Harbaugh gambled and lost. Harbaugh has balls, but it didn't work out. If Frank did that, Chopped would be calling for his head. Harbaugh does it, and nobody blinks.

Harbaugh's won a hell of a lot more games than Frank has (including a Super Bowl). He's more deserving of the benefit of the doubt.

ChaosTheory 12-05-2021 11:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IndyNorm (Post 214702)
We lost to BAL so we can't win a tie breaker against them. Did you mean the Bungles?

I mean, it's just for shits at this point, there so many scenarios...

In my specific scenario, if we lose to either NE or AZ, then IND, BAL, and BUF finish at 10-7.

Three non-division teams, no team swept the other two, so conference record comes into play. IND #6, BAL #7, BUF out

YDFL Commish 12-05-2021 11:35 PM

One of the 4 loss teams will flounder and not make the playoffs.

Puck 12-05-2021 11:38 PM

For fun. try this simulator

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...l-predictions/

ChaosTheory 12-06-2021 12:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by YDFL Commish (Post 214710)
One of the 4 loss teams will flounder and not make the playoffs.

Like others have said, the Ravens have overtimed, and 66-yard field goaled, and Colts' practice squad DB'd their way to some crazy victories this season.

They've got CLE, GB, LAR, CIN, and PIT. Could be ugly.

And TEN wasn't playing well before the bye. I can't see them dropping to the Jags or Texans again. But it's not the craziest thing in the world to have them losing to PIT, MIA, and SF. That's 10-7.

Crazy month upcoming.

Puck 12-06-2021 12:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 214716)
Like others have said, the Ravens have overtimed, and 66-yard field goaled, and Colts' practice squad DB'd their way to some crazy victories this season.

They've got CLE, GB, LAR, CIN, and PIT. Could be ugly.

And TEN wasn't playing well before the bye. I can't see them dropping to the Jags or Texans again. But it's not the craziest thing in the world to have them losing to PIT, MIA, and SF. That's 10-7.

Crazy month upcoming.

I think that after next weekend we will have a much better idea of where we stand when everyone has gone through their bye's.

Tomorrow night is a pretty big game. Whoever wins that. Need to root for them to to win the rematch too.

Another interesting stat. The Colts have the best record in the AFC against conference opponents at 6-3 And since the 0-3 start.... one of .... if not the best record... in the NFL as in no one has a better record than 7-3 since week 3 I may be off by a team or two but we are one of the better teams since week 3

Puck 12-07-2021 07:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Puck (Post 214711)

Titans need to lose 2 more games and the Colts can win the division.

They have 49ers, Miami and Jaggoffs

ChaosTheory 12-07-2021 09:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Puck (Post 214905)
Titans need to lose 2 more games and the Colts can win the division.

They have 49ers, Miami and Jaggoffs

And Steelers.

They need to lose three to end up 10-7. Colts could win out and finish 11-6.

Puck 12-08-2021 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 214916)
And Steelers.

They need to lose three to end up 10-7. Colts could win out and finish 11-6.

Yep. I missed that game. they need 3

ChoppedWood 12-10-2021 12:06 AM

Ummmmmmm Zimmer, quit trying to John Harbaugh this game---- You lose this one you may lose your job!

ChoppedWood 12-10-2021 12:43 AM

One big loss for the week! Let's get some more!

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 03:01 PM

Chiefs are throttling Raiders!

TheMugwump 12-12-2021 03:18 PM

Browns are off to a running start over the Ravens too. Not sure how much this helps/hurts Indy, but I hate the Ratbirds.

HoosierinFL 12-12-2021 04:36 PM

I don't think the Ravens Browns game really helps or hurts, but I think it may help long term. But according to the predictor I'm looking at, if the Bills lose to the Buccaneers tonight, we are in at the 7th seed.

And if the Bengals lose to the 49ers (entirely possible) we are the 6th seed.

Colts And Orioles 12-12-2021 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CletusPyle (Post 214673)



The Ravens screwed us again !!!




Quote:

Originally Posted by Colts And Orioles (Post 214682)
o


Not so fast ...... the Ravens now have to play the Browns (at Cleveland), the Packers, the Bengals (who beat the hell out of them by a score of 41-17 on their home-field earlier this season), the Rams, and a rematch with the Steelers.

The Ravens may have screwed themselves more than they screwed us.

o

o


CLEVELAND BROWNS lllllllll - lllll 24


BALTIMORE RAVENS llllllll, - lllll 22

o

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HoosierinFL (Post 215266)
I don't think the Ravens Browns game really helps or hurts, but I think it may help long term. But according to the predictor I'm looking at, if the Bills lose to the Buccaneers tonight, we are in at the 7th seed.

And if the Bengals lose to the 49ers (entirely possible) we are the 6th seed.

Well I think it may have helped by pushing Cleveland down with a loss, but they won. BUT, a HUGE BUT, Lamar's ankle was injured. They have slid to 4th. Without Lamar, they could easily go on a slide to end the season and we could conceivably pass them in the WC race. Def so if we go 4-0 but even possibly by going 3-1. So, I suppose now we actually want Cincy to win this game with SF?

TheMugwump 12-12-2021 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChoppedWood (Post 215281)
Well I think it may have helped by pushing Cleveland down with a loss, but they won. BUT, a HUGE BUT, Lamar's ankle was injured. They have slid to 4th. Without Lamar, they could easily go on a slide to end the season and we could conceivably pass them in the WC race. Def so if we go 4-0 but even possibly by going 3-1. So, I suppose now we actually want Cincy to win this game with SF?

No. I think we want Cincy to lose and for that whole division to end up at 9-8 or worse, if mathematically possible. Unless they are playing other AFC teams in the race, we want everyone ahead of us to lose.

ChaosTheory 12-12-2021 07:06 PM

We're almost certainly in the playoffs going into next week. Unless Buffalo does something drastic in the second half, we're at least 7th seed

If SF holds on, we're 6th seed via 3-way tie-breaker over Buffalo and Cleveland (Cleveland beats out Cincinnati with division tie-breaker).

For one week at least.

Racehorse 12-12-2021 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory (Post 215302)
We're almost certainly in the playoffs going into next week. Unless Buffalo does something drastic in the second half, we're at least 7th seed

If SF holds on, we're 6th seed via 3-way tie-breaker over Buffalo and Cleveland (Cleveland beats out Cincinnati with division tie-breaker).

For one week at least.

We have the tiebreaker for all of the AFC North teams as of today. It all changes very quickly, though. The NE game looms very large.

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:02 PM

The Bills defense was at one point considered to be something, they are something alright, they are terrible.

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:18 PM

Damnit, now they are fighting back and Cinci just tied the game with 1:00 to go. Crap!

Racehorse 12-12-2021 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChoppedWood (Post 215320)
Damnit, now they are fighting back and Cinci just tied the game with 1:00 to go. Crap!

40 yards to go for a fairly easy FG attempt.

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racehorse (Post 215321)
40 yards to go for a fairly easy FG attempt.

SF has the ball 1st and 10 at Cincy 48 :28 to go

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:24 PM

Geezus now Bills sack Brady. Damn, never once been pissed to see Brady sacked until that play!

Racehorse 12-12-2021 08:26 PM

Billa also coming back. Down 3 with over 3:00 left.

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:26 PM

Awesome Jimmy G deep pass to get to Cincy 29! Let's go!

apballin 12-12-2021 08:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChoppedWood (Post 215324)
Geezus now Bills sack Brady. Damn, never once been pissed to see Brady sacked until that play!

Can’t believe they let the Bills come back wtf

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:28 PM

FML- Gould missed game winner.

Racehorse 12-12-2021 08:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ChoppedWood (Post 215322)
SF has the ball 1st and 10 at Cincy 48 :28 to go

And he misses the kick

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:32 PM

Huge 4th coming up for Bills!

Let's go Fighting Brady's!

ChaosTheory 12-12-2021 08:33 PM

All of a sudden we've got two nail biters. It was such a relaxing day...

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:33 PM

F-k- Davis is stopped short and fights through for 1st and Burrow is marching Cincy down the field...

Racehorse 12-12-2021 08:37 PM

Both NFC teams are going to blow it.

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:37 PM

Huge SF sack on 3rd- Cincy has to kick FG. Allen is killing the bucs...

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:38 PM

FG unit has to come out for Bills. Come on, block this sh!t!

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:39 PM

Looks like OT for Bills Bucs. Damnit.

Come on Jimmy G, get this TD!

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:42 PM

SF at Cincy 26 with 1st down!

ChoppedWood 12-12-2021 08:45 PM

Huge pass to Kittle, 1st and goal at 9!


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