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View Full Version : Why does the focus need to be on defense?


sherck
02-21-2017, 02:38 PM
Saw this stat in a Colts.com article.....followed by but yet another mock draft predicting we pick RB Cook in the first round.

Including the playoffs, Andrew Luck has made 25 career starts where the Colts have allowed less than 19 points in a game. The Colts are 25-0 in those games.

And another one:

Over the last two years, the Colts have had 22 starts with Luck. They’ve allowed less than 19 points just three times.

Other than a RB and/or possibly a starting quality O-Lineman, if Ballard brings in any starting free agents or uses any draft picks in the first 4 rounds of the draft on offensive specialty positions, I am going to make it my mission in life to find him and kick him in the jibbily nibbits until my leg gets tired.

#ThanksGrigson

Chees,

HoosierinFL
02-21-2017, 03:07 PM
because our defense fucking sucks!

rcubed
02-21-2017, 04:17 PM
that is sherck's point. but sherck is a numbers geek so he backs it up with some substance.

Indiana V2
02-21-2017, 09:56 PM
Don't worry, Jacksonville will take Cook long before we do.

Blue Thunder
02-22-2017, 12:23 AM
we won't spend a #1 on a rb. Colts can grab a Jamaal Williams in the 4th or later, meanwhile drafting 3 starters on defense in the first 3 rounds. I don't care who (we pay guys for that) but Colts need new defensive blood.

Colt Classic
02-22-2017, 09:58 AM
Saw one saying the Colts would take McCaffrey round 1. Rejoice!

sherck
02-22-2017, 11:03 AM
From the Colts.com mailbag:
I was looking this up the other day. It’s been over a decade since the Colts have drafted a defender that turned into a second contract guy in Indianapolis. That has to change. You need young defensive talent coming from top picks.
And, without looking it up, can you name the last defensive player drafted by the Colts that received a new contract from the Colts after their rookie one?

BTW, this does not count Vontae Davis since he was not drafted by the Colts.....




Anyone?






Anyone?






Anyone?






Anyone?








Anyone?











Antonie Bethea, drafted in the 6th round by the Colts in 2006 and re-signed to a veteran contract after 4 seasons in 2010. Let go at the end of that contract following the 2013 season. Only missed 5 games out of a possible 128 games in his 8 years in Indy; all within his rookie and 2nd season.

Defensive players selected by the Colts following Bethea 2007 - 2014:

2007:
CB Dante Hughes
DT Quinn Pitcock
SS Brannon Condren
LB Clint Session
FS Michael Coe
DT Keyunta Dawson
2008:
LB Phillip Wheeler
DE Marcus Howard
2009:
DT Fili Moala
CB Jerraud Powers
DT Terrence Taylor
2010:
DE Jerry Hughes
LB Pat Angerer
CB Kevin Thomas
DT Ricardo Matthews
ILB Kavell Conner
CB Ray Fisher
2011:
DT Drake Nevis
SS Chris Ruker
2012:
NT Josh Chapman
ILB Tim Fugger
2013:
OLB Bjoern Werner
DE Montori Hughes
SS John Boyett
2014:
OLB Jonathan Newsome
ILB Andrew Jackson

26 guys, none of which earned a 2nd contract from the Colts. Perhaps we missed on a few guys like Phillip Wheeler, Jerraud Powers and Jerry Hughes but, overall, there was very little NFL talent there.

2015 picks of Henry Anderson, Clayton Geathers and David Parry are the next set of folks that might break this trend in actually having a Colts rookie draftee defender signed to a veteran NFL contract. We will see in 2019.

Cheers,

natagu23
02-22-2017, 11:39 AM
Saw one saying the Colts would take McCaffrey round 1. Rejoice!

Flagged.

The Pats will draft him. 90% probability.

Spike
02-22-2017, 11:49 AM
Saw one IDIOT saying the Colts would take McCaffrey round 1. Rejoice!

Fixed it for you Colt Classic. If this is Ballard's 1st pick, then Irsay hired the wrong GM.

Dam8610
02-22-2017, 01:12 PM
I guessed Bethea. He and Hayden are the last two that received second contracts here on defense. Most of that is due to the ineptitude of Chris Polian and Ryan Grigson. Hopefully Ballard reverses that trend.

Racehorse
02-22-2017, 02:02 PM
i guessed bethea. He and hayden are the last two that received second contracts here on defense. Most of that is due to the ineptitude of the polians and ryan grigson. Hopefully ballard reverses that trend.

fify

Dam8610
02-22-2017, 03:45 PM
fify

Meh, I think the downhill slide in draft quality started when Bill started trying to hand it over to Chris, which IIRC was right after the Super Bowl win. If you look at it, that seems to be the demarcation point. 1998-2006 drafts were all above average or better in terms of producing talent for the team. 2007-2011 drafts were average at best, worse in most cases.

FatDT
02-22-2017, 03:55 PM
The buck still stopped with BP. His son, his judgement, his fault.

I thought Angerer got a small 2nd contract here so I guessed wrong. That's a very long time to go without drafting a worthy defensive player.

omahacolt
02-22-2017, 03:59 PM
The buck still stopped with BP. His son, his judgement, his fault.

I thought Angerer got a small 2nd contract here so I guessed wrong. That's a very long time to go without drafting a worthy defensive player.

Yet lots of colts fans still want offense

indycolts2
02-22-2017, 04:30 PM
Yet lots of colts fans still want offense
Then they must not watch a lot of Colts football recently!

Spike
02-22-2017, 04:55 PM
Defense, Defense, Defense! The Colts need to quit fucking around and build up the D. If the Colts draft McCaffrey, like one mock draft has us doing, I will explode into a million fucking pieces. I think Griggs may have done that, but I believe, or hope, that Ballard is too smart for that.

I would love to have Melvin Ingram, but he is going to cost a boatload of money.

Spike
02-22-2017, 05:08 PM
Yet lots of colts fans still want offense

Yep, it boggles the mind.

Pez
02-22-2017, 05:56 PM
Yet lots of colts fans still want offense

Aright, despite your occasional bluster, you know more about football than me. I'm having a hard time getting my head around this....

In September of 2009, we beat the Dolphins, despite only possessing the ball for 14 minutes. That was because we had a good offensive line and a great QB.

Depending on who you ask, we have a top five QB and a bottom half offensive line.

I don't see anyone presenting a convincing argument that the future of the Colts franchise is on defense. We should have fixed the OL 3 years ago, two years ago... and we didn't.

I would draft an OG in the 1st. To me it's a no brainer. So when you guys say that in a condescending way (that means talk down to), that many colts fans still want offense, are you saying that the 16th ranked offensive line (being kind) is what we want for Andrew Luck?

see also: Ezekiel Elliot, Dak Prescott

omahacolt
02-22-2017, 06:39 PM
Aright, despite your occasional bluster, you know more about football than me. I'm having a hard time getting my head around this....

In September of 2009, we beat the Dolphins, despite only possessing the ball for 14 minutes. That was because we had a good offensive line and a great QB.

Depending on who you ask, we have a top five QB and a bottom half offensive line.

I don't see anyone presenting a convincing argument that the future of the Colts franchise is on defense. We should have fixed the OL 3 years ago, two years ago... and we didn't.

I would draft an OG in the 1st. To me it's a no brainer. So when you guys say that in a condescending way (that means talk down to), that many colts fans still want offense, are you saying that the 16th ranked offensive line (being kind) is what we want for Andrew Luck?

see also: Ezekiel Elliot, Dak Prescott

offensive guards, good ones, can be found all over the nfl draft. my typical opinion is that i never get mad at drafting oline. this year is different.

we have neglected the defense for way too long. we will not win with offense alone. we never did. never once with manning did we win anything with a shit defense. in 06 our defense and running game is what made the super bowl happen

and to win this little argument. i leave you with this. our oline was bad in 09. you can point to 1 game where we had the ball for 14 minutes and still won. how many times since 2000 have we scored over 30 and lost?

HoosierinFL
02-22-2017, 06:47 PM
Seriously, that list of defensive picks since Bethea is just woeful. That is a long list of failure, and it's no wonder the defense is so bad. It has to get better and that has to start with investing in good draft picks.

YDFL Commish
02-22-2017, 08:51 PM
you can point to 1 game where we had the ball for 14 minutes and still won. how many times since 2000 have we scored over 30 and lost?

That game was simply Manning being the GOAT. Nothing more, nothing less.

YDFL Commish
02-22-2017, 08:55 PM
Seriously, that list of defensive picks since Bethea is just woeful. That is a long list of failure, and it's no wonder the defense is so bad. It has to get better and that has to start with investing in good draft picks.

The 2010 draft class actually had promise, but injuries derailed the careers of Angerer, Moala and Thomas. Hughes proved to be a late bloomer and Conner wasn't a bad pick.

indycolts2
02-22-2017, 10:43 PM
Aright, despite your occasional bluster, you know more about football than me. I'm having a hard time getting my head around this....

In September of 2009, we beat the Dolphins, despite only possessing the ball for 14 minutes. That was because we had a good offensive line and a great QB.

Depending on who you ask, we have a top five QB and a bottom half offensive line.

I don't see anyone presenting a convincing argument that the future of the Colts franchise is on defense. We should have fixed the OL 3 years ago, two years ago... and we didn't.

I would draft an OG in the 1st. To me it's a no brainer. So when you guys say that in a condescending way (that means talk down to), that many colts fans still want offense, are you saying that the 16th ranked offensive line (being kind) is what we want for Andrew Luck?

see also: Ezekiel Elliot, Dak Prescott

Not sure a high draft pick should be used on o-line this year, not with what we saw over the last handful of games from the young players they were starting. Great o-lines don't just happen overnight, a little continuity from one year to the next helps. Either I'm blind or the o-line did actually have some significant improvement over the last quarter of the season.

sherck
02-23-2017, 07:33 AM
Not sure a high draft pick should be used on o-line this year, not with what we saw over the last handful of games from the young players they were starting. Great o-lines don't just happen overnight, a little continuity from one year to the next helps. Either I'm blind or the o-line did actually have some significant improvement over the last quarter of the season.
From my RB "State of the Colts" post:
Over the last three games of the season (O-Lineup = Stanzo / Harrison / Kelly / Haeg / Clark), Gore was 55 carries for 235 yards or 4.27 yards per carry. In the previous 13 games, he was 208 carries for 790 yards or 3.79 yards per carry.
And from the QB "State of the Colts" post:
About the only negative of Andrew’s year was that he equaled his career high sack total from his 2012 rookie year with 41…however, he only suffered 10 of them in his final 7 games. His first nine games averaged 3.88 sacks per game but then in the final 7, he suffered sacks at “only” a rate of 1.43 per game.
So, no, two of the more important measures of performance as to whether an O-Line is performing well or not were both up in the later part of the year. Your eyes were not deceiving you.

Cheers,

omahacolt
02-23-2017, 08:38 AM
From my RB "State of the Colts" post:

And from the QB "State of the Colts" post:

So, no, two of the more important measures of performance as to whether an O-Line is performing well or not were both up in the later part of the year. Your eyes were not deceiving you.

Cheers,

Sacks were down but he was still getting drilled too much. But overall I think we have talent and need to give the oline kids a chance to develop

sherck
02-23-2017, 08:40 AM
How many times since 2000 have we scored over 30 and lost?
Too long, won't read:

Since the start of the Peyton years in Indy (1998):

Colts scored more than 30 points in 106 of 329 games (32.2% of them). Of those 106 games, they won 96 of them (90.6% of them).

Colts allowed less than 19 points in 122 of 329 games (37.1% of them). Of those 122 games, they won 116 of them (95.1% of them).

Even for a team like the Colts that is NOT known for building a winning defense over the years, holding opposing teams to less than 19 points is more effective in winning games than scoring 30 or more points.
================
These numbers include post-season games. I also went back to 1998 to cover all of Peyton's years.

1998: 03 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 01 - 2
1999: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2000: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 1
2001: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2002: 01 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 01 - 0
2003: 09 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 1
2004: 11 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 10 - 1
2005: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 07 - 0
2006: 07 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 07 - 0
2007: 08 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 0
2008: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 0
2009: 08 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 08 - 0
2010: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2011: 00 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 00 - 0
2012: 02 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 02 - 0
2013: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 06 - 0
2014: 06 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 05 - 1
2015: 02 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 02 - 0
2016: 05 games of scoring over 30 points; record = 04 - 1

Since Peyton was drafted, the Colts have scored 30 or more points in 106 of 329 games (19 seasons of 16 games each plus 25 post-season games) for a percentage of scoring 30 or more points in 32.2% of our games

Of those 106 games, the Colts won 96 of them for a win percentage of 90.6%.

So, sure, we win most of the games when we put up more than 4 TDs in a game. I would love to know how that percentage stacks up to the NFL as a whole. How many teams put up more 30 or more points in more than 1/3 of their games?

However, the flip side needs to be exampled as well. The question? "How many times since 1998 have the Colts allowed less than 19 points in a game and won?"

1998: 01 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 01 - 0
1999: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2000: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 1
2001: 02 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 02 - 0
2002: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 1
2003: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 0
2004: 08 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 0
2005: 10 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 10 - 0
2006: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2007: 09 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 08 - 1
2008: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 06 - 0
2009: 12 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 12 - 0
2010: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 05 - 1
2011: 01 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 00 - 1
2012: 06 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 06 - 0
2013: 07 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 07 - 0
2014: 09 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 09 - 0
2015: 04 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 03 - 1
2016: 03 games of allowing under 19 points; record = 03 - 0

Since Peyton was drafted, the Colts have allowed less than 19 points to be scored against them in 122 of 329 games (19 seasons of 16 games each plus 25 post-season games) for a percentage of allowing 19 or less points in 37.1% of our games

Of those 122 games, the Colts won 116 of them for a win percentage of 95.1%.
There you have it. Holding opposing teams to less than 19 points is more effective in winning games than having your own team score 30 or more points.

AND, these win numbers are for a team that was no know for building a game winning defense.

That is why we need to work a whole lot more on our defense.

Cheers,

omahacolt
02-23-2017, 09:59 AM
Nice work shrek

VeveJones007
02-23-2017, 10:27 AM
From the Colts.com mailbag:

And, without looking it up, can you name the last defensive player drafted by the Colts that received a new contract from the Colts after their rookie one?

BTW, this does not count Vontae Davis since he was not drafted by the Colts.....




Anyone?






Anyone?






Anyone?






Anyone?








Anyone?











Antonie Bethea, drafted in the 6th round by the Colts in 2006 and re-signed to a veteran contract after 4 seasons in 2010. Let go at the end of that contract following the 2013 season. Only missed 5 games out of a possible 128 games in his 8 years in Indy; all within his rookie and 2nd season.

Defensive players selected by the Colts following Bethea 2007 - 2014:

2007:
CB Dante Hughes
DT Quinn Pitcock
SS Brannon Condren
LB Clint Session
FS Michael Coe
DT Keyunta Dawson
2008:
LB Phillip Wheeler
DE Marcus Howard
2009:
DT Fili Moala
CB Jerraud Powers
DT Terrence Taylor
2010:
DE Jerry Hughes
LB Pat Angerer
CB Kevin Thomas
DT Ricardo Matthews
ILB Kavell Conner
CB Ray Fisher
2011:
DT Drake Nevis
SS Chris Ruker
2012:
NT Josh Chapman
ILB Tim Fugger
2013:
OLB Bjoern Werner
DE Montori Hughes
SS John Boyett
2014:
OLB Jonathan Newsome
ILB Andrew Jackson

26 guys, none of which earned a 2nd contract from the Colts. Perhaps we missed on a few guys like Phillip Wheeler, Jerraud Powers and Jerry Hughes but, overall, there was very little NFL talent there.

2015 picks of Henry Anderson, Clayton Geathers and David Parry are the next set of folks that might break this trend in actually having a Colts rookie draftee defender signed to a veteran NFL contract. We will see in 2019.

Cheers,

Goddamnit, Donald! Guessed Kelvin Hayden and missed by one year.

VeveJones007
02-23-2017, 10:31 AM
Sacks were down but he was still getting drilled too much. But overall I think we have talent and need to give the oline kids a chance to develop

At this stage, you have to play the kids and see if they have it. By all accounts the olinemen suck in this draft anyway, so defensive need should align with BPA.

Wyatt
02-23-2017, 10:55 AM
I've always heard that OG is the easiest position on the OL to fill late in draft or FA, wouldn't make a whole lot of sense to draft one in the 1st, with our highest pick since Luck

natagu23
02-23-2017, 11:05 AM
I've always heard that OG is the easiest position on the OL to fill late in draft or FA, wouldn't make a whole lot of sense to draft one in the 1st, with our highest pick since Luck

We need a run mauler if we do go guard.

I would like to see us go after Larry Warford in free agency

HoosierinFL
02-23-2017, 11:13 AM
Not sure a high draft pick should be used on o-line this year, not with what we saw over the last handful of games from the young players they were starting. Great o-lines don't just happen overnight, a little continuity from one year to the next helps. Either I'm blind or the o-line did actually have some significant improvement over the last quarter of the season.

I think so too, plus they could very much be helped out by a smarter offensive scheme that doesn't involve shotgun snaps followed by 3-4 step drops.

sherck
02-23-2017, 11:34 AM
My only point about selecting an O-Lineman anywhere early would be my most likely scenario where someone that the Colts graded as a low 1st round OT was available with their 2nd round pick and they felt like the kid was a plug and play starter at RT.

Or, the Colts trade down to lower in the first round, pick up extra 2nd/3rd/4th round picks and then select one of those OTs whom they think is an immediate starter.

We don't need more guys on the O-Line. Between Reitz, Good, Haeg and Clark, we have a lot of guys that might end up being anywhere from NFL average to NFL good. We need (perhaps) better guys who come into the top of the depth chart, are day one starters (like Ryan Kelly) and can turn into NFL great in a year or two.

Cheers,

natagu23
02-23-2017, 11:46 AM
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=oal9T61thY0

Great Breakdown of Dalvin Cook. Brett Kollmann knows his football.

I still would like to go defense with our first pick, but im listening...

Cook is a little light in the pants, but man is he dynamic.

FatDT
02-24-2017, 12:10 AM
Stop it. You know better.

Blue Thunder
02-24-2017, 01:46 AM
If the new GM goes rb in round 1 he's no better than old GM.....unless he gets 3 starters on defense in FA......THEN he can do whatever he wants

HoosierinFL
02-24-2017, 10:13 AM
So I don't follow college ball at all, so I don't know anything about these RBs except that they are considered the top 2 prospects at that position. So the Cook video is interesting but damn, I watched his breakdown on Fournette. Holy shit that guy is a beast. I say we go defense still but if we ended up in a position to take him (I know we won't) I wouldn't be mad at all.

Hoopsdoc
02-24-2017, 12:08 PM
By all accounts, Ballard is a smart guy and was highly sought after as a GM candidate. Then he decided to keep Chucky Clapsalot and I started to wonder. However, I still think he did that because all the good candidates were already gone and he knows he'll get a mulligan for next year anyway.

I still have total confidence that he knows what he's doing. That's why I don't expect a skill position O player at all in the first 4-5 rounds. He needs defense, defense, defense, and more defense.

Cutting the rotting carcass of DQ was a good start.

Spike
02-24-2017, 12:26 PM
By all accounts, Ballard is a smart guy and was highly sought after as a GM candidate. Then he decided to keep Chucky Clapsalot and I started to wonder. However, I still think he did that because all the good candidates were already gone and he knows he'll get a mulligan for next year anyway.

I still have total confidence that he knows what he's doing. That's why I don't expect a skill position O player at all in the first 4-5 rounds. He needs defense, defense, defense, and more defense.

Cutting the rotting carcass of DQ was a good start.

I believe Irsay made the decision to keep Pags, at least for one more year. I don't think Ballard had a choice, at least not this year. In Irsay's press conference when he announced the firing of Griggs, he stated that Pags would be the coach for 2017.

natagu23
02-24-2017, 12:31 PM
If the new GM goes rb in round 1 he's no better than old GM.....unless he gets 3 starters on defense in FA......THEN he can do whatever he wants

Yep.

We could sign 2 or 3 defensive starters which could allow us to draft a RB in the first.

Tak vs Dalvin Cook. I'd take Cook assuming Barnett is off the board.

Racehorse
02-24-2017, 01:19 PM
Yep.

We could sign 2 or 3 defensive starters which could allow us to draft a RB in the first.

Tak vs Dalvin Cook. I'd take Cook assuming Barnett is off the board.

No, it wouldn't allow us to do that. FA guys will be a short-term solution. We would still need to draft those positions for the future. RB can be had later in the draft or in future drafts.

Dam8610
02-24-2017, 03:15 PM
Hopefully Ballard is of the school of thought that has followed Andy Reid coached teams around. This would mean heavy investment in the front 7 and OL.

Wyatt
02-24-2017, 04:44 PM
looks like the colts picked up a 4th round comp pick....that's gotta help a little at stockpiling some numbers on defense

omahacolt
02-24-2017, 05:36 PM
defense


everyone needs to stop with this offensive obsession. it is never ending with colts fans.

they constantly justify the need for offense. usually a tall wr

natagu23
02-25-2017, 01:37 AM
Barnett looks slow and lacks explosiveness.

Sure the production is there, but for as big as he is you would figure he should have disrupted games more. I didn't see that.

He's awful at changing directions. I don't think his game translates imo.

nate505
02-25-2017, 02:24 AM
I'm for basically every pick being on defense, but if Cook is another Marshall Faulk I'd be pretty happy with the pick.

Still, I'd rather see all the picks (other than a 3rd or 4th on a RB) be on defense. The LB group is shockingly bad.

nate505
02-25-2017, 02:28 AM
Defense, Defense, Defense! The Colts need to quit fucking around and build up the D. If the Colts draft McCaffrey, like one mock draft has us doing, I will explode into a million fucking pieces. I think Griggs may have done that, but I believe, or hope, that Ballard is too smart for that.

I would love to have Melvin Ingram, but he is going to cost a boatload of money.

I'd tend to agree. I won't be pissed with Cook or Fournette because they might be really great talents, but anyone other than them that's not a defensive player and I will be.

HoosierinFL
02-27-2017, 12:37 PM
I don't want to belabor the point because I still believe 2 things:
1. We absolutely need to pick defense in the first round.
2. Leonard Fournette will not be there when we pick.

But just for fun, when watching those film breakdowns of Cook and Fournette, I'm not sold on Cook at all. Here's the video of Fournette (the one on cook posted previously in the thread). Watch them side by side. Fournette is a killer.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27ortq29_UU

sherck
02-27-2017, 12:49 PM
I don't want to belabor the point because I still believe 2 things:
1. We absolutely need to pick defense in the first round.
2. Leonard Fournette will not be there when we pick.

But just for fun, when watching those film breakdowns of Cook and Fournette, I'm not sold on Cook at all. Here's the video of Fournette (the one on cook posted previously in the thread). Watch them side by side. Fournette is a killer.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27ortq29_UU

After watching a lot of Fournette vs Cook videos, it reminds me of the Edge vs Ricky Williams debate.

Williams was the better pure runner in his college career being able to juke folks, power over folks or just plain pull away from them in the open field.

Edge had less raw running power displayed in college but was much better out of the backfield on pass routes and a better pass blocker.

Everyone felt that Williams was a slam dunk winner in the NFL. Most felt like James would be a "nice" NFL back but not a game changer.

Now, I am not predicting that either Fournette or Cook will/will not succeed in the NFL....but the similarities between their discussion and the Williams / Edge discussion are many.

Cheers,

bertjones
02-27-2017, 01:42 PM
Myself, my inclination is to spend the entire draft on defense, with the
first 3 picks devoted to the linebacker position. The cupboard is nearly bare
on defense, it kind of reminds me of the end of the Tobin regime after he
had let Herrod, Siragusa, Bennet, Buchanon and Ambrose walk. There was literally nothing left, Polian had to start from scratch.
Quite frankly I wouldn't lose a minute of sleep if we lost any of our
Linebackers. Most, if not all of them need to be replaced. Scherk may have
actually understated the situation when he said we needed a Manhattan
project here.
As for the supposed strength of the defense, the line, I see a couple of nice
role players but no difference makers, certainly nobody that strikes fear in an
opposing offense. Anderson could be a guy like that if he can make it all the way back.
In the secondary Davis is the only guy you can hang your hat on. And he will
never be confused with Revis in his prime. The rest of the unit are retreads
and projects, not a good place to be.
So yes, it is going to take more than a few grocery trips to restock this shelf.
Having said all this, I take issue with those who are assuming that this
is automatically a top 5 offense without any help. I'm not sure we're out of the woods yet regarding the offensive line. I noticed the improved play during
the last quarter of the season too but Andrew was still having his ass handed to him a lot and the running lanes were sparse. I remember how a lot of people thought the line was "fixed" after the Colts deep playoff run a couple of years ago(forgetting the first 16 games and the playoff loss to NE). As it
turned out Holmes and thorton weren't the players we thought they were
and the line crashed, again. I don't think that will happen this time, I really
like the young linemen- all of them. But I would like a little insurance, Lang
of Green Bay comes to mind. He's a solid player who would instantly become
a team leader. He could help mentor the youngsters and having played under
Philbin in GB he could be a valuable liason.
As far as the receivers are concerned I know the running joke here is that
we'll know that Ballard sucks if he gets one. The harsh truth though is that of
this highly touted group only Hilton and Doyel carried their weight. The others
either underperformed(Moncrief, Dosett and allen) or weren't on the field long
enough to get an accurate guage(Rogers and Swoope). Given that, in a perfect world someone would be brought in to at least provide competition.
But, given the needs on defense that simply isn't feasible
Finally as far as running backs go, let me first say that I think the WORLD
of Frank Gore, just a hard nosed football player who gives it every thing he
has-all the time. But he's over 30, well over 30 and the shelf life of most
running backs is 30-at best. And we have nothing behind him. As an aside,
one of the reasons I haven't been here as much is that I've been doing a number of projects one of them has been dubbing old VHS tapes I have to
DVD. I have practically all of the manning era games on those old tapes and
I'm putting selected ones on to DVD. Anyway, from time to time I peek in on
the dubbing and watch a little. What stands out besides Manning is Edge,
how he effortlessly evaded tacklers and gained yardage. We've had some
good running backs since, Addai and Gore. But Edge was great and watching
those old films slams home the difference. Sure would be lethal to have a
running back like that again. IF ballard and his scouts after doing their research believe Cook is that kind of player I wouldn't hate that pick. But boy
that would be a ballsy . I've got a feeling that this early in Ballard would
rather pass this chalice and that's fine by me too.
Anyway, good to be back. Missed you guys.

sherck
02-27-2017, 02:26 PM
Welcome back, Bert.

I agree with most of what you said.

I don't know that there is any position group on the team with the exception of QB that could not be improved.

A couple of them (WR, TE, O-Line) would do well with one more guy at the top end of the depth chart to help ensure they are heading in the right direction. Perhaps a couple of those can come in 2nd tier free agency to help round out the depth chart.

However, almost every other group (RB, DL, LB, CB, Safety) need complete over-hauls or multiple folks as both starters and depth. The need at every position on defense is critical.

I don't disagree with you that we could use a WR2/WR3 for competition, a TE if we don't re-sign Doyle, a starter/quality backup on the O-Line, RB2 and a Punter....but those needs are way, way, way down the list when compared to what we need on defense.

A RB like Edge is what you like to add when almost every other part of your team in Championship ready. It is a luxury pick; not a restocking pick, IMO.

Anyway, good post.

Cheers,

YDFL Commish
02-27-2017, 03:52 PM
I don't want to belabor the point because I still believe 2 things:
1. We absolutely need to pick defense in the first round.
2. Leonard Fournette will not be there when we pick.

But just for fun, when watching those film breakdowns of Cook and Fournette, I'm not sold on Cook at all. Here's the video of Fournette (the one on cook posted previously in the thread). Watch them side by side. Fournette is a killer.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=27ortq29_UU

I agree totally on the differences between Fournette and Cook. Fournette is just in a different league than the other RB's in this class.

But just the same, this is a great, great RB class. I wouldn't hesitate for a minute to rank Mixon, from a pure talent perspective, up there with, or better than Cook, Wayne Gallman, a probable 2nd rounder reminds me a lot of Addai, except not as good a blocker. The list of quality RB's in this draft just goes on and on; McCaffery, Perine, Foreman, Hunt, Kamara, Mack.

I think all of them listed above, have a chance to be better than the Frank Gore of 2017. So unless Fournette is there at 14/15, then I pass on RB. In fact, if another team wants to trade up for Cook, then I would be listening.

The cupboard is just too bare not too.

Flexo
02-27-2017, 11:43 PM
If the Colts do not select a defensive player in the first I will scream and act very childish.